DemDaily: Something Special

June 21, 2017

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Jon Ossoff after learning of the results last night

Republicans added two victories to their 2017 election count last night, with wins in both the Georgia 6th and South Carolina 5th Congressional District Special Elections.

The southern seats are two of six Congressional special elections this year, including five traditionally Republican seats vacated by Members to join the Trump administration.

In the five contests to-date, Republicans have held onto four, and the fifth, historically progressive seat, stayed in the Democratic column.

On the face, it is a wash for both parties with no gains for either going into the 2018 elections - but the breakdown on the numbers for each race still paints a positive picture for Dems, who came within 7% points of winning in three states where Trump beat Clinton last November by 18+%.

Georgia 6th
In Georgia's 6th Congressional District, which will go down as the most expensive Congressional election in history, Democrat  John Ossoff lost to Republican Karen Handel 48.1% to 51.9% in a seat where Trump beat Clinton 48% to 47%.

The race, which had Ossoff and Handel in a dead-heat through the final five weeks of the campaign, was Democrat's greatest hope for a flip this year.

South Carolina 6th
Likewise, in South Carolina's special election, where Trump delivered a 57%-39% victory, Democrat Archie Parnell lost to Republican Ralph Norman by just 4%.

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Dr. Kathie Allen, the Democratic nominee for Utah's 3rd CD

That leaves two remaining special elections in 2017: Utah's 3rd CD and the Alabama US Senate seat.

The Utah Democrat and Republican parties held their party conventions June 17th, nominating physician Dr. Kathie Allen (D) and former Utah State Representative Christopher Herrod (R) as their annointed nominees.  The two will still have to face other qualifying candidates, including two Republicans, and five independent/unaffiliateds in the official August 15th primary.

The primary election for Alabama's US Senate seat, left vacant by now-US Attorney General Jeff Sessions, will be held August 15th, with the general election December 12th. Former Alabama State Attorney General Luther Strange was appointed by Governor Robert Bentley as interim Senator until the election is decided.

2017 Special Elections Results

Office
Incumbent
Special Election Date
Democratic Candidate
Republican Candidate
Presidential % in CD
Special Election
Results
Party Control
US Congress:
Kansas 4th District
Mike Pompeo, now serves as CIA Director
General: April 11
James Thompson
Ron Estes
Clinton 33%
Trump 60%
Thompson 45.7%-
Estes 52.5%
 
Stayed the Same
US Congress:
Montana At Large seat
Ryan Zinke, now serves as Secretary of the Interior
General: May 25
Rob Quist
Greg Gianforte
Clinton 36%
Trump 57%
Quist 44.4% -
Gianforte 50%
Stayed the Same
US Congress:
California 34th District 
Xavier Becerra, now serves as California Atty General
General: June 6
Jimmy Gomez v
Robert Lee Ahn
none
Clinton 83%
Trump 11%
Gomez 60.1% - Ahn 39.9%
Stayed the Same
US Congress:
Georgia 6th District
Tom Price, now serves as Secretary of Health and Human Services
Runoff: June 20
Jon Ossoff
Karen Handel
Clinton 47%
Trump 48%
Ossoff 48.1% - Handel 51.9%
Stayed the Same
US Congress:
South Carolina 5th District
Mick Mulvaney, now serves as Director, Office of Management & Budget
General: June 20
Archie Parnell
Ralph Norman
Clinton 39%
Trump 57%
Parnell 47.9% -
Norman 51.1%
Stayed the Same

2017 Remaining Special Elections

Office Incumbent Special Election Date Democratic
Candidate
Republican Candidate  Presidential
% in CD
US Congress:
Utah 3rd District
Jason Chaffetz, Resigned
Primary:
August 15
General: November 7
Dr. Kathie Allen
 
Independent American Party:
Jason Christensen, Aaron Heineman
Libertarian Party:
Joe Buchman
Unaffiliated:
Jim Bennett
Write-in:
Russell Roesler
Christopher Herrod, Tanner Ainge, John Curtis
Clinton 23%
Trump 47%
US Senate:
Alabama
Jeff Sessions, now serves as US Attorney
General
Primary:
August 15
General:
December 12
Will Boyd, Vann Caldwell, Jason Fisher, Michael Hansen, Robert Kennedy Jr., Brian McGee, Nana Tchienkou, Doug Jones
Luther Strange,
James Beretta, Joseph Berault, Randy Brinson, Dominic Gentile, Mary Maxwell, Roy Moore
Clinton 34%
Trump 62%

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Sources: Ballotpedia, Wikipedia, ElectionsUtah.gov, RealClearPolitics

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