DemDaily: Endangered Democrats: The List

September 14, 2017

In following on our rundown on vulnerable House Republicans, a look at the most competitive Democratic seats in the 2018 battle for control of the House.

Democrats hold 194 seats to Republicans 241. It will take a net gain of 24 seats for Democrats to take control of the House in 2018.

 

Niki Tsongas (MA-3) is thesole Democratic retirement to-date. Seven other Dems are leaving the House to run for higher office

Of the 435 Congressional seats up in 2018, the Cook Political Report rates 175 as solid Democrat and 186 as solid Republican. That leaves 74 seats in play: currently held by 19 Democratsand 46 Republicans.

While the ongoing Trump controversies, GOP departures (8 retirements/8 running for higher office) and the recent Democratic fundraising performance may have shifted the numbers in Dem's favor, much - as we know - can still happen in the next year leading up to the November, 2018 elections.

 

 

Key: Likely Democrat (10), Lean Democrats (6) and Democratic Toss Up (3).

Republican's Top Democratic Congressional District Targets

State District Incumbent Democrat
Arizona
01 Tom O'Halleran
California
07 Ami Bera
California
24 Salud Carbajal
Florida
07 Stephanie Murphy
Florida
13 Charlie Crist
Iowa
02 David Loebsack
Minnesota
01 Tim Walz OPEN
Minnesota
07 Colin Peterson
Minnesota
08 Rick Nolan
Nevada
03 Jacky Rosen OPEN
Nevada
04 Ruben Kihuen
New Hampshire
01 Carol Shea-Porter
New Hampshire
02 Ann Kuster
New Jersey
05 Josh Gottheimer
New York
03 Thomas Suozzi
New York
18 Sean Maloney
Oregon
05 Kurt Schrader
Pennsylvania
17 Matthew Cartwright
Wisconsin
03
Ron Kind

In addition, Cook and other pundits universally rate Florida's 27th Congressional District, where Republican Ileana Ros-Lehtinen is retiring, as a Lean or Likely Democratic takeover.

For Endangered Republicans, see:
DemDaily: House Retirements, Races and Ratings

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Sources: Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, FiveThirtyEight

 

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