DemDaily: Incumbents on Top

August 31, 2016

Despite the anti-establishment fervor this election cycle, incumbents carried the day in yesterday's primaries in Arizona and Florida.

Senator John McCain

In Arizona five-term Senator John McCain fended off three primary challengers to win with 52%. McCain will face Congresswoman Ann Kirkpatrick in what is expected to be the "race of his life" in the general.

Current polling on the general election contest shows McCain with an eight-point edge over Kirkpatrick.

ARIZONA
US Senate Primary
Primary Spending
Primary Results
Current General
Election Poll #s
Presidential
Current Poll
#s in State
Senator John McCain (R)
$7,296,450
52%
44.7%
Donald Trump
44%
Kelli Ward (R)
$1,303,849
39%
Alex Meluskey (R)
$854,702
5.5%
Clair Van Steenwyk (R)
$22,372
3.5%
Congresswoman Ann Kirkpatrick (D)
$3,501,531
36.7%
Hillary Clinton
42%
Unopposed
       --

 

In Florida, incumbent Senator and former presidential candidate Marco Rubio easily won his primary with 72% of the vote. He will face two-term Democratic Congressman Patrick Murphy in the general-election in what is expected to be one of the most expensive contests in the country. A win for Dems in Florida could make the difference in ultimate control of the US Senate.

Of note in the House primaries: Incumbent Congresswoman and former DNC Chair Debbie Wasserman-Schultz survived a high-profile primary challenge by Sanders-backed Tim Canova in the 23rd CD.

Senator Marco Rubio

Congresswoman Corrine Brown (D-FL 5th CD) was defeated by former State Senator Al Lawson in the primary. Brown, who has represented Florida in congress for seven terms, is under indictment.

FLORIDA
US Senate Primary
Primary Spending
Primary Results
Current General
Election Poll #s
Presidential
Current Poll
#s in State
Senator Marco Rubio (R)
$6,280,142
72%
46.7%
Donald Trump
42%
Carlos Beruff (R)
$8,196,656
18.5%
Other Candidates (R)
$1,958,086
9.5%
Congressman Patrick Murphy (D)
$7,770,908
58.9%
41.0%
Hillary Clinton 
47%
Congressman Alan Grayson (D)
$1,535,842
17.7%
Other Candidates (D)
$797,083
8%

 

Congresswoman Debbie Wasserman-Schultz

McCain and Rubio are currently favored to win reelection but if the Trump factor sways voters to HRC, both races could turn into competitive presidential battlegrounds states.

At present Trump and Clinton are polling at 44% - 42% in Arizona, and 42% - 47% in Florida, respectively.

4 states still have primaries: Massachusetts (9/8) and New Hampshire, Delaware & Rhode Island (9/13).

As always, DemList will keep you informed!

DemList
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Kimberly Scott
Publisher

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