DemDaily: The Senate’s Swing States

November 2, 2016

A week from today we will know who the next US President will be, as well as which party will have control of the US Senate and, ultimately, the next Supreme Court nominee.

If the rising Blue Wave of 2016 sweeps in the top of the ticket election day, Democrats could be looking at 2 to 7 gains in the Senate. It will take a net gain of 5 seats for the Dems to take control of the Upper Chamber, which currently seats 54 Republicans, 44 Democrats and 2 Independents (that caucus with the Democrats).

Of the 34 States with a US Senate seat up for election, 10 are considered "Safe or Likely Democrat," and 16 "Safe or Likely Republican," which puts 8 states in play.

Not surprisingly, all eight are in presidential battlegrounds states.

Current numbers favor Incumbent Senator Marco Rubio (R) in Florida, and an increasingly tight contest in Wisconsin still leans toward former US Senator and Democratic challenger, Russ Feingold.

However, six races -Indiana, Missouri, North Carolina, Nevada, New Hampshire and Pennsylvania -- are still considered statistic toss-ups which could push, or be-pushed by, the presidential tide.

Swing Senate Seats
State Democrat Republican Senate Polling Average
Electoral Votes
Presidential Polling Average
Florida Patrick Murphy Marco Rubio*
Rubio +4.4
Trump +1.0
Indiana Evan Bayh Todd Young
Bayh +2.3
Trump +9.3
Missouri Jason Kander Roy Blunt*
Blunt +0.6
Trump +11.3
New Hampshire Maggie Hassan
Kelly Ayotte*
Ayotte +1.8
Clinton +4.7
Catherine Cortez Masto
Joe Heck
Heck +1.0
Trump +1.6
North Carolina
Deborah Ross Richard Burr*
Burr +1.6
Trump +0.7
Pennsylvania Katie McGinty Pat Toomey*
McGinty +4.8
Clinton +4.9
Wisconsin Russ Feingold Ron Johnson*
Feingold +6.8
Clinton +5.7
* Incumbent.  Source: RealClearPolitics. Polling averages are based on current reputable polls in each state.
Collectively these states represent a total of 105 electoral votes, or 39% of the 270 needed to secure the presidency.
Click to go to DemList's Election Protection Connection for state-by-state voter protection organizations and volunteer opportunities, as well as for a list of all final Clinton Campaign Events !



Connecting you to The Party
Connecting you to Each Other

Kimberly Scott


Related posts

Netroots Nation (DemList Discount!)

Netroots Nation (DemList Discount!)

July 17, 2017 One of the coolest and increasingly essential conferences each year is Netroots Nation — the country’s largest annual gathering for progressives, to be held this year...

DemDaily: SCOTUS: A Deadly Docket

DemDaily: SCOTUS: A Deadly Docket

October 18, 2017 The United States Supreme Court (SCOTUS) convened October 2nd, with a full docket that could have dire consequences on everything from religious liberty, voting rights and...

DemDaily: Know The Rules

DemDaily: Know The Rules

Cctober 31, 2017 In perhaps the most important election of 2017, all eyes are on the Virginia Governor’s race and the tight contest between Lt. Governor and Democratic nominee Ralph...

Convention Central: Equalitea

Join prominent women leaders, fabulous feminist Congressional Members and candidates from around the country at the Democratic National Convention for Women’s Equalitea –a feminist...