DemDaily: Statehouse Stakes

October 28, 2016

Republicans currently dominate control of state legislatures with a majority in 66% of the country's 98 partisan legislative chambers.

The presidential contest is expected to impact down ballot races nationwide and with it, control of state capitals. State legislatures are key to the voting process and redistricting and, with over 80% percent of the nation's 7,383 legislative seats up November 8th, the long-term repercussions are significant.

Republicans currently hold the majority in 67 of the country's 98 partisan legislative chambers, while Democrats have 31. Nebraska's single chamber is nonpartisan.

If the election of Hillary Clinton and the blue wave of 2016 comes to fruition, Democrats will not only tighten the partisan margins at the legislator level, but could flip control of 15+ state chambers.

In most states, House members serve two-year terms, and Senate 4-years - which means the class of 2016 will control the outcome of 2020 Congressional redistricting in their state.

Given the stakes, both parties are investing heavily in the statehouses and President Obama, whose approval rating is at 57%, has publicly endorsed 150 legislative candidates.

Chambers In the Balance: 16 states have one or both chambers within the technical margin of control, including in Alaska, Arizona, Colorado, Delaware, Iowa, Kentucky, Maine, Minnesota, Nevada, New Hampshire, New Mexico, Oregon, Virginia, West Virginia, Washington and Wisconsin. (bolded = presidential battleground)

2016 State Chambers & Party Control
State
House
Senate
Presidential
Alabama 72 R, 33 D 26 R, 8 D, 1 I Safe R
Alaska 23 R, 16 D, 1 I 14 R, 6 D Safe R
Arizona 36 R, 24 D 18 R, 12 D Tossup
Arkansas 64 R, 35 D, 1 I 24 R, 11 D Safe R
California 52 D, 28 R 26 D, 14 R Safe D
Colorado
34 D, 31 R
18 R, 17 D Likely D
Connecticut 87 D, 64 R 21 D, 15 R Safe D
Delaware 25 D, 16 R 12 D, 9 R Safe D
Florida 81 R, 39 D 26 R, 14 D Tossup
Georgia 119 R, 60 D, 1 I 39 R, 17 D Lean R
Hawaii 44 D, 7 R 24 D, 1 R Safe D
Idaho 56 R, 14 D 28 R, 7 D Safe R
Illinois 71 D, 47 R 39 D, 20 R Safe D
Indiana 71 R, 29 D 40 R, 10 D Likely R
Iowa 57 R, 43 D 26 D, 23 R, 1 I Tossup
Kansas 97 R, 28 D 32 R, 8 D Safe R
Kentucky 53 D, 47 R 27 R, 11 D Safe R
Louisiana 60 R, 42 D, 3 I 25 R, 14 D Safe R
Maine 78 D, 69 R, 1 I 20 R, 15 D Likely D
Maryland 91 D, 50 R 33 D, 14 R Safe D
Massachusetts 126 D, 34 R 34 D, 6 R Safe D
Michigan 63 R, 47 D 27 R, 11 D Likely D
Minnesota 73 R, 61 D 39 D, 28 R Likely D
Mississippi 74 R, 48 D 32 R, 20 D Safe R
Missouri 117 R, 45 D, 1 I 25 R, 9 D Likely R
Montana 59 R, 41 D 29 R, 21 D Safe R
Nebraska* nonpartisan unicameral nonpartisan unicameral Safe R
Nevada 24 R, 17 D, 1 L 11 R, 10 D Lean D
New Hampshire 237 R, 161 D, 1 L, 1 I 14 R, 10 D Lean D
New Jersey 52 D, 28 R 24 D, 16 R Safe D
New Mexico 37 R, 33 D 24 D, 18 R Safe D
New York 105 D, 43 R, 1 C**, 1 I 37 R, 26 D Safe D
North Carolina 74 R, 45 D, 1 I 34 R, 16 D Lean D
North Dakota 71 R, 23 D 32 R, 15 D Safe R
Ohio 65 R, 34 D 23 R, 10 D Tossup
Oklahoma 71 R, 30 D 39 R, 9 D Safe R
Oregon 35 D, 25 R 18 D, 12 R Safe D
Pennsylvania 119 R, 84 D 31 R, 19 D Lean D
Rhode Island 62 D, 12 R, 1 I 32 D, 5 R, 1 I Safe D
South Carolina 78 R, 46 D 28 R, 18 D Safe R
South Dakota 58 R, 12 D 27 R, 8 D Safe R
Tennessee 73 R, 26 D 28 R, 5 D Safe R
Texas 99 R, 50 D, 1 I 20 R, 11 D Likely R
Utah 63 R, 12 D 23 R, 5 D, 1 L Lean R
Vermont 85 D, 53 R, 6 P***, 6 I 18 D, 9 R, 3 P*** Safe D
Virginia 66 R, 34 D 21 R, 19 D Likely D
Washington 50 D, 48 R 25 R, 24 D Safe D
West Virginia 64 R, 36 D 18 R, 16 D Safe R
Wisconsin 63 R, 36 D 19 R, 14 D Lean D
Wyoming 51 R, 9 D 26 R, 4 D Safe R

* Nebraska only has one chamber, which is nonpartisan

** Conservative Party
*** Progressive Party
Resource Links
National Counsel of State Legislators (NCSL)
Democratic Legislative Campaign Committee (DLCC)
Democratic Municipal Officials (DMO)
DemList
Connecting you to The Party
Connecting you to Each Other
Kimberly Scott
Publisher

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