DemDaily: Your Guide to Today’s Dixie Primary

May 22, 2018

Four southern states will be voting today, providing the largest insight yet into the mood of voters below the Mason-Dixon line.

Primaries will be held Arkansas, Georgia and Kentucky, as well as runoff elections in Texas.

ARKANSAS
Landscape

Presidential:  Trump 60.6%, Clinton 33.7%
US Senate:    Senators Jim Boozman (R) and Tim Cotton (R)

US House:     Four Districts (All R)
Governor:      Asa Hutchinson (R)
Legislature:   State Senate (9D/23R), State House (27D/73R)

Tuesday's Primaries
Federal: US Congress (4)
State: Governor, Lt. Governor, Attorney General, Treasurer, Secretary of State, Auditor, Public Lands Comm
- State Senate and State House of Representatives. Special Elections: Senate Districts 16 & 29, House 83
- State Supreme Court and Appellate Court Judges, Ballot Measures
Local: School Board, Local Judges

To Watch: Second Congressional District Democratic primary where State Representative Clarke Tucker, teacher Paul Spencer and two others are competing for the chance to unseat French Hill (R) in the leaning Republican seat.

Georgia Democratic Primary: Stacey Abrams v Stacey Evans

GEORGIA
Landscape
Presidential:  Trump 50.8%, Clinton 45.6%
US Senate:  David Perdue (R) & Johnny Isakson (R)

US House:   14 Districts (4D/10R)
Governor:      Nathan Deal (R), Retiring
Legislature:   State Senate (18D/38R), State House (62D/118R)

Tuesday's Primaries
Federal: US Congress (14)
State: Governor, Lt. Governor, Attorney General, Secretary of State, Agricultural Commissioner, Insurance Commissioner, Labor Commissioner, Superintendent of Public Instruction, Public Service Commissioner
- State Senate and State House of Representatives
- State Supreme Court and Appellate Court Judges, Ballot Measures
Local:  Local Judges, School Board, County Commissioner (Dekalb & Fulton)
To Watch: In Georgia's gubernatorial election, two women named Stacey, both lawyers and former lawmakers, are fighting for the Democratic nomination to face the winner of the five-way Republican primary. If no candidate secures 50+% of the vote, they will advance to a runoff election July 24th.

Whether Stacey Evans, who is white, or Stacey Abrams, who is black, the winner will become the first female nominee for Governor from a major party in Georgia's history.  If it is Abrams, who sewed up most of the national progressive support, she will also become our country's first black female Governor.  A May 15-16 FOX 5 Atlanta poll showed Abrams up with 58.2%, to Evans' 19% and 23% undecided.

Image: Vox

KENTUCKY
Landscape
Presidential:  Trump 62.5%, Clinton 32.7%
US Senate:   Mitch McConnell (R) and Rand Paul (R)

US House:    Six Districts (1D/5R)
Governor:      Matt Bevin (R)
Legislature:   State Senate (11D/27R) State House (36D/64R)

Tuesday's Primaries
Federal: US Congress (6)
State:  State Senate and State House of Representatives
- State Supreme Court, Appellate Court, Ballot Measures
Local:  Local Judges, School Board, and City Council (Lexington, Louisville)

To Watch: The Sixth Congressional District where former Marine fighter pilot, Amy McGrath, faces off with Lexington's openly gay second-term mayor, Jim Gray, for the chance to challenge incumbentAndy Barr (R).

TEXAS (RunOff)
Landscape
Presidential:  Trump 52.6%, Clinton 43.4%

US Senate:    John Cornyn (R) and Ted Cruz (R)
US House:     36 Districts (11D/24R). The 27th CD is vacant, following the resignation of Congressman
Blake Farenthold (R) April 6, 2018. As special election is scheduled for June 30th.

Governor:      Greg Abbott (R)
Legislature:    State Senate (11D/21R), State House 150 (55D/95R)

Lizzie Fletcher and Laura Moser are in the Democratic runoff for the 7th CD, where incumbent John Culberson (R) is vulnerable (pic: TxTribune)

In the Texas primary elections March 6th, if no candidate received 50+% of the vote, then the two top vote-getters from that race advanced to a second round of balloting - in today's runoff elections. That happened in 33 races for statewide office, Congress and the Texas Legislature.

Federal: US Congress: Democrats have runoffs in 10 congressional districts, Republicans have seven.
State:  Governor: Democratic contest between Lupe Valdez and Andrew White
- State Senate: Democratic runoff in District 17
- State House:  Democratic runnoff in seven seats, Republican runoff in seven

To Watch: The Democratic match in the 7th Congressional District (Houston), considered a potential red-to-blue flip, and races in the 21st, 23rd and 32nd CDs.

DemList will keep you informed.

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Kimberly Scott
Publisher

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Sources: Ballotpedia, 270toWin, Vox

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