DemDaily: Ahead of the Game. New Hampshire Results

February 12, 2020

Bernie Sanders solidified his frontrunner status in yesterday's New Hampshire primary but the story coming out of the Granite State was not his victory but the surge, and demise, of other campaigns.

New Hampshire: Sanders (VT) won with 26%, followed by Pete Buttigieg (IN) with 24% and Amy Klobuchar (MN) with 20%. Trailing behind were Elizabeth Warren @9%, Joe Biden @8%, Tom Steyer @4%, Tulsi Gabbard @3% and Andrew Yang @3%.

Klobuchar got a boost from her performance during last Fridays 8th Democratic Debate (Gretchen Ertl/Reuters)

Going into New Hampshire, which Sanders won by 22% over Hillary Clinton in 2016, the Vermont Senator was leading Buttigieg by an average of 7% and Klobuchar by 17%.

However, according to Edison Media Research exit polling, almost half the New Hampshire voters made up their minds in the final three days leading up to the primary.

Approximately 75% of Klobuchar's vote came from late deciders, as did half of Buttigieg's support.

Unlike Iowa, where turnout was lower than 2016, New Hampshire exceeded both their 2008 and 2016 turnout numbers with more than 287,000 voters having gone to the polls.

Klobuchar's rise is exactly the stuff of New Hampshire, the second state contest of the Democratic presidential primary calendar, and an important early test of viability for contenders.

Historically a good showing in New Hampshire can help propel an underfunded, lesser-known candidate into the top tier, while dooming the fate of others in a crowded field.

Out of the Race: Tech entrepreneur Andrew Yang, Colorado Senator Michael Bennet and former Massachusetts Governor Deval Patrick. All dropped out within the last 24 hours following poor showings in Tuesday's primary

The results do not bode well for the campaigns of Elizabeth Warren and Joe Biden, who did not meet the 15% voter threshold to secure delegates. Neither, however, should be counted out as both are still in the top four in national polls.

Candidates are also going from two, predominately white states, to two upcoming contests where both brown and black voters come into play.

In an average of mid-January polls, Biden was leading Sanders in Nevada, the next primary contest, by 3%, followed by Warren 6% behind.

In the last week, however, Nevada's Culinary Union has come out in strong opposition to Sanders medicare-for-all plan, saying it would "end Culinary Healthcare."

Although the 60,000-member union has not made a primary endorsement, they are clearly weighing in ahead of Nevada's February 22nd primary.

(New York Post)

Biden, however, is focused on the February 29th South Carolina primary, where African Americans account for 60% of the vote and where he holds a substantial lead. 54 pledged delegates are at stake.

While Pete Buttigieg currently leads the delegate count, he has struggled with attracting minority voters. In a Quinnipiac University poll released Monday, Buttigieg garnered only 4% to Biden's 27% among black voters.

Former Mayor Michael Bloomberg, who did not compete in Iowa or New Hampshire, was at 22% among black voters.

The nomination fight is far from over.

DemList will keep you informed.

Next Up: The Nevada primary on Saturday, February 22, 2020, where 36 pledged delegates will be up for grabs.

Related

 

DemList
Connecting you to The Party
Connecting you to Each Other

Kimberly Scott
Publisher

Please Support DemList!

Follow DemList on FacebookTwitter and LinkedIn

SignUp for the Daily column on the issues, politics and players

 

Sources: The Nevada Independent, Iowa Democratic Party, RealClearPolitics

Related posts

DemDaily: The Pay Gap

DemDaily: The Pay Gap

April 4, 2019 80 cents. That is the amount working women get paid for every dollar paid to their male counterparts. $10,169. The loss in median earnings for a woman each year. Over the course of a...

Posted
DemDaily: A Little Humor

DemDaily: A Little Humor

June 7, 2019 We are increasing our humor roundups to monthly. Reasons to laugh, it appears, are in demand.  On President Trump’s visit to the United Kingdom, and his claim the large crowd of...

Posted
DemDaily: Kavanaugh’s KO?

DemDaily: Kavanaugh’s KO?

September  18, 2018 The confirmation battle for President Trump’s Supreme Court nominee Brett Kavanaugh has reached fever pitch in the wake of allegatons against the Judge that he sexually...

Convention Central: Center Stage

For the first time in a modern American presidential campaign, a debate on trade and manufacturing policy has taken center stage in both parties. Recent focus group and polling data show these...

Posted