DemDaily: Carolina Consolation

September 11, 2019

North Carolina delivered a victory for both Republicans and Democrats last night.

While Democrat Dan McCready lost to Republican Dan Bishop, 50.7% to 48.7% in North Carolina's 9th Congressional District, the close contest provided a welcome consolation prize.

NC-9: Suburbs went Blue, Rural Red (Image: NYT)

Republicans underperformed by 10% in the historically red district which both Donald Trump, in 2016, and Mitt Romney, in 2012, won by 12 points.

In what is becoming a pattern, voters in the rural areas went for the Republican, Bishop, while the increasingly blue suburbs and urban areas, voted for the Democrat, McCready.

This reflects similar demographic gains made by Democrats in other recent red state elections, including Alabama, Georgia, Florida and Texas.

Some analysts say the results underscore the need for Democrats to focus more aggressively on the rural vote and, for 2020, a candidate that will appeal to moderate and swing voters in those areas.

Despite the outcome, the end numbers provided Democrats with the desired bellweather they were seeking to show the diminishing popularity of President Donald Trump.

CNN/SRSS September 5-9, 2019 poll (Margin of Error +/- 3.2) shows Trump's job approval rating at just 39%, with a disapproval rating of 55%.

The Cook Political Report has identified at least 30 GOP House seats that are less friendly to Republicans than North Carolina's 9th CD.

In NC-3 Special Election, Allen Thomas (D) lost to Greg Murphy (R) in heavily Republican CD (WITN)

One of them, however, is not North Carolina's 3rd CD, where a special election also took place yesterday, to replace the late Walter Jones (R).

In that contest, Republican State Representative Greg Murphy defeated Democrat and former Greenville Mayor Allen Thomas 61.7% to 37.5%, reflecting the district's R+24 partisan lean.

At this point, that leaves one pending special election in Wisconsin's 7th Congressional District, to replace Republican Sean Duffy, who will be stepping down as of September 23, 2019.

More retirements, however, are expected.

US House Count235 Democrats, 199 Republicans, 1 Independent

DemList will keep you informed.

DemList
Connecting you to The Party
Connecting you to Each Other

Kimberly Scott
Publisher

Support DemList!

SignUp for the Dailys updates on the issues, politics and players
Forward and Follow on FacebookTwitter and LinkedIn

 

Resources: FiveThirtyEight, NewYorkTimes, Cook, MSNBC

Related posts

DemDaily: SharpieGate

DemDaily: SharpieGate

September 6, 2019 On August 29th, the National Weather Service issued an update on the path of Hurricane Dorian. Alabama was not in the five-day cone. On September 1st, President Donald Trump...

DemDaily: Game of Guns

DemDaily: Game of Guns

June 5, 2019 May 31, 2019: Virginia Beach, Virginia. Virginia Beach Municipal Center. Killed 12, Injured 8. The deadliest mass shooting in the United States so far in 2019. Of the twenty deadliest...

Posted
DemDaily: Because of the Brave

DemDaily: Because of the Brave

May 24, 2018 As you head out for the Memorial Day weekend, remember that Monday is a day of remembrance for all those who died in service of our country and its armed forces. In honor of all...

Posted
DemDaily: The Sit-In

DemDaily: The Sit-In

To some it may have appeared to be typical Congressional grandstanding — but this week’s 26-hour “SIT-IN” by Democratic Members of Congress was a much-needed reminder of...