DemDaily: House Retirement Rollout

October 22, 2019

Now almost midway through the 116th Congress, an update on the latest new wave of retirements from the US House of Representatives!

US House of Representatives:  235 Democrats, 199 Republicans, 1 Independent
(includes three vacancies)
Two-term Congressman Francis Rooney (R-FL) is the most recent casualty, announcing his retirement the day after he became the first House Republican to say he would consider voting for impeachment of President Trump.

 

While a handful of Members are leaving to run for higher office, the mounting GOP departures are largely attributed to the frustration of being in the minority and subject to the unpopular whims of an unstable White House, as well as the pro-Democratic voter trend in some districts.

(Joan Wong/New York Times/AP)

So far, 22 Republicans have left or are leaving the lower chamber, along with just seven Democrats.

Of those, three resigned in advance of the end of their term and two passed away in office, requiring five special elections.

Two of those have taken place -- in North Carolina's 3rd District, where Gregory Murphy (R) won the seat to succeed the late Walter Jones (R), and in Pennsylvania's 12th District, where Fred Keller (R) defeated Marc Friedenberg (D) to succeed Tom Marino (R).

A third special, for Wisconsin's 7th CD to fill the vacancy left by Sean Duffy (R), will take place on May 12, 2020. The remaining two, for New York's 27th CD to replace Chris Collins (R), and Maryland's 7th, for a successor to the late Elijah Cummings, have yet to be scheduled.

Among the retirements are two of the GOP's mere 13 female members, and their only African American member, Will Hurd (TX), one of six Republican members who are a part of the "Texodus" from the Lone Star State.

The GOP witnessed an exodus of 34 members under Trump in 2018, almost twice that of Democrats, who rode a blue wave of victories to control of the US House. Let's hope the next wave takes us all the way to the White House.

2020 HOUSE DEPARTURES

State/District Member Cook Partisan Voting Index 2018 Margin of Victory Status First
Elected
Alabama/1
Bradley Byrne
R+15 +26.4 pts Running for US Senate 2012
Alabama/2
Martha Roby
R+16 +23 pts Retiring 2010
California/53
Susan Davis
D+14 +38.2 pts Retiring 2000
California/8
Paul Cook
R+9 +20.0 pts Running for County Board of Supervisors 2012
Florida/19
Francis Rooney
R+13 +24.6 pts Retiring 2016
Georgia/7
Rob Woodall
R+9 +0.2 pts Retiring 2010
Indiana/5 Susan Brooks R+9 +13.6 pts Retiring 2012
Illinois/15 John Shimkus R+21 +41.8 pts Retiring 1996
Iowa/2
Dave Loebsack
D+1 +12.2 pts Retiring 2006
Kansas/1
Robert Marshall
R+24 +36.2 pts Running for US Senate 2016
Maryland/7
Elijah Cummings
D+26 +55.1 pts Died in Office 1996
Massachusetts/4
Joseph Kennedy III
D+9 +95.4 pts Running for US Senate 2012
Michigan/10 Paul Mitchell R+13 +25.3 pts Retiring 2016
Montana/AL Greg Gianforte R+11 +4.7 pts Running for Governor 2016
New Mexico/3
Ben Ray Luján
D+8 +32.2 pts Running for US Senate 2008
New York/15
José Serrano
D+44 +92.0 pts Retiring 1990
New York/17
Nita Lowey
D+7 +76.0 pts Retiring 1988
New York/27
Chris Collins
R+11 +0.3 pts Resigned 9/30/19. Special Election: TBD 2012
North Carolina/3
Walter Jones
R+12 +100 pts Died in Office. Successor Gregory Murphy (R) 1994
Pennsylvania/12
Tom Marino
R+17 +32 pts Resigned 1/23/19. Successor Fred Keller (R) 2010
Texas/11
Mike Conaway
R+32 +61.7 pts Retiring 2004
Texas/13
Mac Thornberry
R+33 +64.6 pts Retiring 1994
Texas/17 Bill Flores R+12 +15.5 pts Retiring 2010
Texas/22 Pete Olson R+10 +4.9 pts Retiring 2008
Texas/23 Will Hurd R+1 +0.5 pts Retiring 2014
Texas/24 Kenny Marchant R+9 +3.1 pts Retiring 2004
Utah/1 Rob Bishop R+26 +36.7 pts Retiring 2002
Wisconsin/5 Jim Sensenbrenner R+13 +24 pts Retiring 1978
Wisconsin/7 Sean Duffy R+8 +21.6 pts Resigned 9/23/19 2010

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Kimberly Scott
Publisher

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Resources: Ballotpedia, Cook Political Report, CNN

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