DemDaily: House Retirement Rollout

October 22, 2019

Now almost midway through the 116th Congress, an update on the latest new wave of retirements from the US House of Representatives!

US House of Representatives:  235 Democrats, 199 Republicans, 1 Independent
(includes three vacancies)
Two-term Congressman Francis Rooney (R-FL) is the most recent casualty, announcing his retirement the day after he became the first House Republican to say he would consider voting for impeachment of President Trump.

 

While a handful of Members are leaving to run for higher office, the mounting GOP departures are largely attributed to the frustration of being in the minority and subject to the unpopular whims of an unstable White House, as well as the pro-Democratic voter trend in some districts.

(Joan Wong/New York Times/AP)

So far, 22 Republicans have left or are leaving the lower chamber, along with just seven Democrats.

Of those, three resigned in advance of the end of their term and two passed away in office, requiring five special elections.

Two of those have taken place -- in North Carolina's 3rd District, where Gregory Murphy (R) won the seat to succeed the late Walter Jones (R), and in Pennsylvania's 12th District, where Fred Keller (R) defeated Marc Friedenberg (D) to succeed Tom Marino (R).

A third special, for Wisconsin's 7th CD to fill the vacancy left by Sean Duffy (R), will take place on May 12, 2020. The remaining two, for New York's 27th CD to replace Chris Collins (R), and Maryland's 7th, for a successor to the late Elijah Cummings, have yet to be scheduled.

Among the retirements are two of the GOP's mere 13 female members, and their only African American member, Will Hurd (TX), one of six Republican members who are a part of the "Texodus" from the Lone Star State.

The GOP witnessed an exodus of 34 members under Trump in 2018, almost twice that of Democrats, who rode a blue wave of victories to control of the US House. Let's hope the next wave takes us all the way to the White House.

2020 HOUSE DEPARTURES

State/DistrictMemberCook Partisan Voting Index2018 Margin of VictoryStatusFirst
Elected
Alabama/1
Bradley Byrne
R+15+26.4 ptsRunning for US Senate2012
Alabama/2
Martha Roby
R+16+23 ptsRetiring2010
California/53
Susan Davis
D+14+38.2 ptsRetiring2000
California/8
Paul Cook
R+9+20.0 ptsRunning for County Board of Supervisors2012
Florida/19
Francis Rooney
R+13+24.6 ptsRetiring2016
Georgia/7
Rob Woodall
R+9+0.2 ptsRetiring2010
Indiana/5Susan BrooksR+9+13.6 ptsRetiring2012
Illinois/15John ShimkusR+21+41.8 ptsRetiring1996
Iowa/2
Dave Loebsack
D+1+12.2 ptsRetiring2006
Kansas/1
Robert Marshall
R+24+36.2 ptsRunning for US Senate2016
Maryland/7
Elijah Cummings
D+26+55.1 ptsDied in Office1996
Massachusetts/4
Joseph Kennedy III
D+9+95.4 ptsRunning for US Senate2012
Michigan/10Paul MitchellR+13+25.3 ptsRetiring2016
Montana/ALGreg GianforteR+11+4.7 ptsRunning for Governor2016
New Mexico/3
Ben Ray Luján
D+8+32.2 ptsRunning for US Senate2008
New York/15
José Serrano
D+44+92.0 ptsRetiring1990
New York/17
Nita Lowey
D+7+76.0 ptsRetiring1988
New York/27
Chris Collins
R+11+0.3 ptsResigned 9/30/19. Special Election: TBD2012
North Carolina/3
Walter Jones
R+12+100 ptsDied in Office. Successor Gregory Murphy (R)1994
Pennsylvania/12
Tom Marino
R+17+32 ptsResigned 1/23/19. Successor Fred Keller (R)2010
Texas/11
Mike Conaway
R+32+61.7 ptsRetiring2004
Texas/13
Mac Thornberry
R+33+64.6 ptsRetiring1994
Texas/17Bill FloresR+12+15.5 ptsRetiring2010
Texas/22Pete OlsonR+10+4.9 ptsRetiring2008
Texas/23Will HurdR+1+0.5 ptsRetiring2014
Texas/24Kenny MarchantR+9+3.1 ptsRetiring2004
Utah/1Rob BishopR+26+36.7 ptsRetiring2002
Wisconsin/5Jim SensenbrennerR+13+24 ptsRetiring1978
Wisconsin/7Sean DuffyR+8+21.6 ptsResigned 9/23/192010

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Kimberly Scott
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Resources: Ballotpedia, Cook Political Report, CNN

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