DemDaily: Presidential Race Ratings! and the Electoral College

July 14, 2020

Now 112 days away from the 2020 presidential election, the electoral college map is looking good for Democratic hopes of retaking the White House.

According to an analysis by Ballotpedia of the status of the electorate in each state, Democrats have 269 electoral votes in the Solid, Likely and Lean categories.

Republicans, comparatively have 204 electoral votes in the Solid, Likely and Lean categories, which means the GOP would need to win all four battleground states in the "Toss Up" category to go head-to-head with Democrats.

Biden is leading Trump in each of those states -- Arizona, Florida, North Carolina and Wisconsin -- by 3% to 6.5%.

The Electoral College is a body of electors established by the United States Constitution, which forms every four years following the November election for the sole purpose of officially electing the president and vice president of the United States

The number of electoral votes per state is determined by the number of their delegation to the US Congress, for a total of 538 "electors," or voters, among 50 states and the District of Columbia.

Each state's electors meet in their respective state capitals on the first Monday after the second Wednesday of December to cast their votes, which are then sent to Congress for counting and certification the first week of January.  The elected president and vice president are inaugurated on January 20, 2020.

An absolute majority of at least 270 electoral votes is required to win the election. In forty-eight states and D.C., the winner of the statewide vote in November receives all of that state's electors. Maine and Nebraska each award two electoral votes to the statewide winner and one electoral vote to the winner in each congressional district.

2020 Presidential Race Ratings
Solid Democratic
188 Electoral Votes
Likely/Leans Democratic
81 Electoral Votes 
Toss Up
65 Electoral Votes

 

Likely/Leans Republican
82 Electoral Votes
Solid Republican
122 Electoral Votes

 

California (55)
Connecticut (7)
Delaware (3)
District of
Columbia (3)
Hawaii (4)
Illinois (20)
Maine 1st CD (1)
Maryland (10)
Massachusetts (11)
New Jersey (14)
New Mexico (5)
New York (29)
Oregon (7)
Rhode Island (4)
Vermont (3)
Washington (12)
Likely
Colorado (9)
Maine (2)
Virginia (13) Leans
Michigan (16)
Minnesota (10)
Nevada (6)
Pennsylvania (20)
Nebraska 2nd CD (1)
New Hampshire (4)
Arizona (11)
Florida (29)
North Carolina (15)
Wisconsin (10)
Likely
Alaska (3)Lean
Georgia (16)
Iowa (6)
Maine 2nd CD (1)
Ohio (18)
Texas (38)
Alabama (9)
Arkansas (6)
Idaho (4)
Indiana (11)
Kansas (6)
Kentucky (8)
Louisiana (8)
Mississippi (6)
Missouri (10)
Montana (3)
Nebraska (2)
Nebraska 1st CD (1)
Nebraska 3rd CD (1)
North Dakota (3)
Oklahoma (7)
South Carolina (9)
South Dakota (3)
Tennessee (11)
Utah (6)
West Virginia (5)
Wyoming (3)
14 States
(+ME 01 & DC) 
8 States (+NE 02) 4 States
 
5 States (+ ME-02) 19 States
(+NE 01 & NE 03)

DemList will keep you informed.

Submit your virtual events now for free promotion on the 2020 DemList Convention Calendar, which will go live July 20th. Contact us for sponsorship opportunities!

DemList
Connecting you to The Party
Connecting you to Each Other

Kimberly Scott
Publisher

Please Support Our Work!

SignUp for the Dailys. Follow on FacebookTwitter and LinkedIn

Sources: Ballotpedia, Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, Sabato's Crystal Ball, PRI

Related posts

DemDaily: What is the Green New Deal?

DemDaily: What is the Green New Deal?

March 13, 2019 In January of 2007, New York Times columnist Thomas Friedman, citing 2006 as the hottest year in America since 1895, and the hottest in Britain since 1659, called for a “Green...

DemDaily: Steady and Stumped

Last night voters got their first taste of the debate season, watching both Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump field questions about their qualifications at the Commander in Chief Forum hosted by...

DemDaily: Convention 101

DemDaily: Convention 101

January 13, 2020 We are now 182 days away from the Democratic Convention in Milwaukee, Wisconsin — and the selection of our nominee for the 2020 race for the White House. Convention 101  The...